为进一步加深对热带气旋生成和发展过程中关键动力和热力学过程的理解,并了解由热带气旋造成的暴雨特征,中国科学院大气物理研究所主办的英文期刊《大气和海洋科学快报》(Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters,AOSL)出版了题为“热带气旋及其引发降水的理论与预测”的专刊(https://www.sciencedirect.com/journal/atmospheric-and-oceanic-science-letters/vol/18/issue/2)。该专刊由AOSL编委国防科技大学费建芳教授、复旦大学周文教授以及客座编委南京大学雷荔傈教授共同组织。
专刊收录了1篇综述文章及12篇原创研究论文,深入探讨了气候变化对热带气旋的影响,揭示了影响热带气旋演变的环境因素,并提出了创新的数据同化方法和预报预测技术。这些研究成果不仅展示了对热带气旋生成、发展和预报预测的最新进展,还提供了关于其伴随降水的关键科学见解。专刊出版旨在增强对热带气旋发展机理及其引发降水的科学认识,提高热带气旋预报预警能力,以期更好地应对热带气旋及其引发强降水带来的自然灾害。
专刊封面
专刊收录文章如下:
Preface
Lei, L. Fei, J., Zhou, W., 2025. Theory and prediction of tropical cyclones and induced precipitation. Atmos. Ocean. Sci. Lett. 18 (2), 100608. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aosl.2025.100608
Review
Huang, J., Ma, Z., Liu, L., Li, X., Jiang, T., 2025. Perspectives and challenges on the interaction between tropical cyclone precipitation and the ocean: A review. Atmos. Ocean. Sci. Lett. 18 (2), 100573. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aosl.2024.100573
Articles
He, Y., Li, Q., Dai, Y., 2025. Secondary eyewall formation in upper- and lower-layer vertical wind shear simulated in idealized tropical cyclones. Atmos. Ocean. Sci. Lett. 18(2), 100465. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aosl.2024.100465
Lin, Y., Chu, K., Tan, Z.-M., 2025. Characteristics of tropical cyclone outflow over the western North Pacific. Atmos. Ocean. Sci. Lett. 18 (2), 100479. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aosl.2024.100479
Yue, D., Li, Q., 2025. Microphysical processes of the “21·7” Henan extremely heavy rainfall event as simulated with the Thompson microphysics scheme. Atmos. Ocean. Sci. Lett. 18 (2), 100480. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aosl.2024.100480
Gao, Z., Yuan, C., 2025. Changes in tropical cyclone response to the Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation in the western North Pacific under global warming in EC-Earth3P-HR. Atmos. Ocean. Sci. Lett. 18 (2), 100482. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aosl.2024.100482
Sun, L., Li, Q., 2025. Numerical simulation of size contraction of Typhoon Cempaka(2021). Atmos. Ocean. Sci. Lett. 18 (2), 100533. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aosl.2024.100533
Ren, Y., Lei, L., Gu, J.-F., Tan, Z.-M., Zhang, Y., 2025. Understanding the initial conditions contributing to the rapid intensification of typhoons through ensemble sensitivity analysis. Atmos. Ocean. Sci. Lett. 18 (2), 100552. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aosl.2024.100552
Chen, Z.Q., Chan, K.T.F., Luo, Z.W., 2025. Statistical seasonal forecating of tropical cyclone landfalls on Taiwan Island. Atmos. Ocean. Sci. Lett. 18 (2), 100554. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aosl.2024.100554
Wen, Q., Zhang, X., Hu, S., Zhao, P.T., Zhong, S.X., Liu, Z.Y., Zhao, Z.K., et al., 2025. Collaborative assimilation experiment of Beidou radiosonde and drone-dropped radiosonde based on CMA-TRAMS. Atmos. Ocean. Sci. Lett. 18 (2), 100555.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aosl.2024.100555
Huang, L., Liu, C., Yu, Y., Zou, L., 2025. A regional ocean–atmosphere coupled model using CMA-TRAMS and LICOM: Preliminary results for tropical cyclone gale prediction over the northern South China Sea. Atmos. Ocean. Sci. Lett. 18 (2), 100557. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aosl.2024.100557
Wang, T., Wang, J., 2025. Relationship between the geopotential height anomalies induced by tropical cyclones and the meridional movement of the western Pacific subtropical high. Atmos. Ocean. Sci. Lett. 18 (2), 100560. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aosl.2024.100560
Deng, J., Zhang, J., Liu, H., Li, H., Chen, F., Chen, J., 2025. Impacts of lateral boundary conditions from numerical models and data-driven networks on convective-scale ensemble forecasts. Atmos. Ocean. Sci. Lett. 18 (2), 100589. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aosl.2025.100589
Li, Z., Zhou, W., 2025. Westward shift of western North Pacific tropical cyclones in CMIP6-HighResMIP models. Atmos. Ocean. Sci. Lett. 18 (2), 100594. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aosl.2025.100594